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Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Lund E.
Assist: Smidt Pors C.
80' Event
Neumann Andersen K.
83' Event
Jensen E. H.
Assist: Hansen E.

AI Match Summary

The B-Liga Women game between Esbjerg W and Naestved HG W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naestved HG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Esbjerg W
15%
Draws
85%
Naestved HG W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naestved HG W come out ahead of Esbjerg W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Naestved HG W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Esbjerg W Clean Sheet 10%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg W Naestved HG W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
1:2
May 25, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Naestved HG W
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Esbjerg W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lund E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Neumann Andersen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jensen E. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg W 10 / 100
Naestved HG W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg W Naestved HG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved HG W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved HG W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Esbjerg W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Naestved HG W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg W VS Naestved HG W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg W

(Home)
04 Oct
Esbjerg W
1 : 3
Thisted FC W
27 Sept
Esbjerg W
1 : 2
B93 W
19 Sept
Osterbro IF W
4 : 1
Esbjerg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
05 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Esbjerg W
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Naestved HG W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 1
Sundby W
12 Sept
B93 W
2 : 1
Naestved HG W
06 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 2
Viborg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 B93 W 8 6 0 2 16:10 18
2 Sundby W 8 5 2 1 18:10 17
3 Osterbro IF W 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
4 Thisted FC W 8 4 1 3 23:23 13
5 Naestved HG W 7 3 1 3 13:8 10
6 Viborg W 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
7 Aalborg W 7 1 1 5 9:24 4
8 Esbjerg W 8 0 1 7 10:23 1
Promotion - B-Liga Women (Promotion)
Relegation - B-Liga Women (Relegation)