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ESC Geestemunde vs Grohn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ESC Geestemunde in this Oberliga Bremen matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ESC Geestemunde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
ESC Geestemunde
20%
Draws
34%
Grohn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESC Geestemunde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Grohn haven't matched ESC Geestemunde's recent run of results.
  • ESC Geestemunde are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • ESC Geestemunde have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%
Grohn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESC Geestemunde Grohn
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 2.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.9 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Grohn
4:3
Apr 9, 2017 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs ESC Geestemunde
1:5
Oct 16, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Grohn
6:1
May 8, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Grohn
3:3
Nov 29, 2015 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs ESC Geestemunde
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESC Geestemunde 74 / 100
Grohn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESC Geestemunde Grohn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Geestemunde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Grohn has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

ESC Geestemunde has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ESC Geestemunde VS Grohn
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ESC Geestemunde

(Home)
27 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
3 : 3
Brinkumer
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
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Grohn

(Away)
26 Sept
BTS Neustadt
2 : 1
Grohn
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
06 Sept
Grohn
2 : 5
Blumenthaler
30 Aug
Vatan Bremen
2 : 3
Grohn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
4 Brinkumer 8 6 1 1 24:9 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Union 60 Bremen 8 3 3 2 17:15 12
7 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
8 Vatan Bremen 8 3 1 4 19:18 10
9 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
10 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
11 ESC Geestemunde 8 2 3 3 20:24 9
12 BTS Neustadt 8 3 0 5 14:21 9
13 Leher 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 8 0 2 6 7:33 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)