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Esch vs Mondorf

Luxembourg Luxembourg

National Division 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Cabral Barbosa E.
28' Event
Soares C.
65' Event
Sinani D.

AI Match Summary

Mondorf in this National Division 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mondorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Esch
15%
Draws
51%
Mondorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Esch haven't matched Mondorf's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mondorf a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National Division 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Esch Clean Sheet 10%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esch Mondorf
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 20
Draws 1 4
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2018 BGL Ligue
Esch vs Mondorf
0:3
Nov 26, 2017 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Esch
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral Barbosa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soares C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esch 10 / 100
Mondorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esch Mondorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esch scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Mondorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Esch remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esch VS Mondorf
0 Goals Scored 1.25
8 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esch

(Home)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7
Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9
Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
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Mondorf

(Away)
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2
Mondorf
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dudelange 26 22 2 2 81:26 68
2 Progres Niedercorn 26 20 3 3 72:28 63
3 Fola 26 14 5 7 72:41 47
4 Jeunesse Esch 26 13 5 8 52:35 44
5 Differdange 26 11 5 10 48:38 38
6 Mondorf 26 10 8 8 40:36 38
7 Racing Luxembourg 26 9 8 9 41:40 35
8 Hostert 26 9 7 10 37:46 34
9 Union Titus Petange 26 9 4 13 43:51 31
10 Luxembourg City 26 8 6 12 30:45 30
11 UNA Strassen 26 8 5 13 38:60 29
12 Victoria Rosport 26 7 5 14 37:59 26
13 FC Rodange 91 26 4 10 12 27:55 22
14 Esch 26 1 1 24 15:73 4
Promotion - Champions League 2018/2019 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2018/2019 (Qualification)
Relegation - National Division 2017/2018 (Relegation)