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Escorpiones vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Montiel R.
60' Event
Ferreto C.
72'

AI Match Summary

Escorpiones in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Escorpiones
15%
Draws
85%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Escorpiones have won more games recently than Santa Cruz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Escorpiones have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Escorpiones, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Escorpiones Clean Sheet 14%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Escorpiones Santa Cruz
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Escorpiones vs Santa Cruz
4:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Escorpiones
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Escorpiones Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Camareno J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreto C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Escorpiones 31 / 100
Santa Cruz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Escorpiones Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Escorpiones found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

Santa Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Escorpiones VS Santa Cruz
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Escorpiones

(Home)
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
22 Aug
Escorpiones
1 : 4
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
CS Uruguay 2
Quepos FC 5
FC Moravia 1
ADR Jicaral 3
Pitbulls 1
Inter San Carlos 4
Santa Cruz 2
Escorpiones 5
Semi-finals
Quepos FC 2
ADR Jicaral 3
Inter San Carlos 1
Escorpiones 0
Final
ADR Jicaral 0
Inter San Carlos 1