Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Eskhata and Istiqlol Dushanbe finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istiqlol Dushanbe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Eskhata haven't matched Istiqlol Dushanbe's recent run of results.
- Model gives Istiqlol Dushanbe a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 13%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eskhata | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 8 | 22 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:0
Nov 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Eskhata
6:2
Apr 26, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
1:1
Nov 22, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:3
May 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Eskhata
6:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eskhata 19 / 100
Istiqlol Dushanbe 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eskhata Istiqlol Dushanbe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Istiqlol Dushanbe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Eskhata's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Istiqlol Dushanbe let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.
Solid form: Eskhata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Eskhata VS Istiqlol Dushanbe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Eskhata
(Home) 16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1 Istaravshan
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0 Eskhata
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2 Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2 Eskhata
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1 Istaravshan
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2 Barkchi Hisor
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1 Khujand
13 Jun
Eskhata
1 : 6 Khosilot Parkhar
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Istiqlol Dushanbe
(Away) 15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0 Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Regar-TadAZ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 37 |
| 3 | Khosilot Parkhar | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Barkchi Hisor | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 24 |
| 5 | CSKA Pomir Dushanbe | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Khujand | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 15:11 | 24 |
| 7 | Ravshan Kulob | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 8 | Vakhsh | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15:32 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23:31 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 17 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15:35 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
