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Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Harlyckan, Helsingborg
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bjorkqvist M.
21'
Sub
Ohlander L. In: Andersson V.
Out: Ohlander L.
29'
Eriksson M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Eskilsminne and AFC Malmo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Eskilsminne
20%
Draws
47%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Malmo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eskilsminne a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eskilsminne Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eskilsminne AFC Malmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmo
1:2
Jun 7, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Eskilsminne
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Eskilsminne
3:0
May 17, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmo
2:2
Sep 20, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Eskilsminne
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eskilsminne Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustafson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorkqvist M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minter Wettergren L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eskilsminne 34 / 100
AFC Malmo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eskilsminne AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eskilsminne scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

AFC Malmo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Eskilsminne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eskilsminne VS AFC Malmo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eskilsminne

(Home)
03 Oct
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Eskilsminne
27 Sept
Eskilsminne
1 : 2
AFC Malmo
21 Sept
Angelholm
2 : 2
Eskilsminne
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Laholms
1 : 0
Eskilsminne
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AFC Malmo

(Away)
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
27 Sept
Eskilsminne
1 : 2
AFC Malmo
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1
Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 25 16 6 3 55:28 54
2 Atvidaberg 25 13 7 5 49:35 46
3 Hassleholms IF 25 14 3 8 46:30 45
4 Lunds Bois 25 11 8 6 46:29 41
5 AFC Malmo 25 11 8 6 45:35 41
6 Trollhattan 25 10 8 7 42:37 38
7 Rosengard 25 10 8 7 41:37 38
8 Jonkoping 25 9 6 10 29:26 33
9 Tvaaker 25 9 6 10 33:39 33
10 Skovde 25 8 9 8 31:38 33
11 Eskilsminne 25 9 5 11 40:44 32
12 Olympic 25 9 3 13 41:48 30
13 Kristianstad 25 7 6 12 29:37 27
14 Laholms 25 7 4 14 32:43 25
15 Angelholm 25 4 9 12 31:47 21
16 Utsikten 25 2 6 17 23:60 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)