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ESMAC vs Uniao Paraense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 2025 game between ESMAC and Uniao Paraense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Paraense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
ESMAC
35%
Draws
32%
Uniao Paraense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ESMAC come out ahead of Uniao Paraense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uniao Paraense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Paraense A2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ESMAC Clean Sheet 15%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMAC Uniao Paraense
Matches Played 14 16
Wins 2 1
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.86 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2025 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs ESMAC
1:1
Jun 11, 2025 Paraense A2
ESMAC vs Uniao Paraense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMAC 23 / 100
Uniao Paraense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMAC Uniao Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Paraense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMAC scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Uniao Paraense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 16 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Paraense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

ESMAC VS Uniao Paraense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMAC

(Home)
23 Sept
ESMAC
0 : 5
Pedreira
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
23 Jun
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
ESMAC
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Uniao Paraense

(Away)
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
23 May
Uniao Paraense
2 : 2
Izabelense
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
03 May
Izabelense
2 : 1
Uniao Paraense
12 Jul
Urumajo
1 : 0
Uniao Paraense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)