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ESMAC vs Venus

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
ESMAC Logo

ESMAC

1 - 1
FT
Venus Logo

Venus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 game between ESMAC and Venus finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
ESMAC
30%
Draws
54%
Venus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • ESMAC haven't matched Venus's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Venus taking it.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ESMAC Clean Sheet 16%
Venus Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMAC Venus
Matches Played 13 12
Wins 2 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.92 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Paraense A3
Venus vs ESMAC
5:2
Sep 5, 2026 Paraense A3
ESMAC vs Venus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMAC 23 / 100
Venus 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMAC Venus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: ESMAC scored in 77% of their last 13 outings.

Venus has conceded goals in 67% of their last 12 outings.

ESMAC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ESMAC VS Venus
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMAC

(Home)
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
23 Jun
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
ESMAC
19 Jun
ESMAC
1 : 2
Amazonia IFC
Page 1 of 3

Venus

(Away)
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
04 Nov
Belenense
3 : 1
Venus
01 Nov
Venus
1 : 0
Belenense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Venus 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 ESMAC 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Paraense SC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Tesla 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
2 Sport Belem 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 CA Vila Rica 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Parauapebas 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Altamira 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)