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ESMAC W vs Sao Paulo W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rafa Travalao
13' Event
Lari S.
15' Event
Rafa Travalao

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W in this Brasileiro Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
ESMAC W
15%
Draws
85%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W have won more games recently than ESMAC W.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
ESMAC W Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMAC W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.83 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Brasileiro Women
ESMAC W vs Sao Paulo W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMAC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lari S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Travalao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fe Palermo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMAC W 10 / 100
Sao Paulo W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMAC W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

ESMAC W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sao Paulo W conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sao Paulo W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMAC W

(Home)
28 Apr
ESMAC W
0 : 1
Paysandu PA W
18 Apr
Paysandu PA W
2 : 0
ESMAC W
28 May
ESMAC W
1 : 2
Botafogo PB W
21 May
Sport Recife W
2 : 1
ESMAC W
14 May
Vila Nova FC W
2 : 1
ESMAC W
Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 15 12 1 2 45:13 37
2 Sao Paulo W 15 11 2 2 30:13 35
3 Internacional W 15 10 3 2 27:13 33
4 Corinthians W 15 9 5 1 33:12 32
5 Real Brasilia W 15 8 2 5 24:23 26
6 CR Flamengo W 15 7 4 4 25:17 25
7 Ferroviaria W 15 7 3 5 23:14 24
8 Gremio W 15 5 6 4 22:18 21
9 Santos W 15 6 2 7 33:24 20
10 Avai Kindermann W 15 6 2 7 16:26 20
11 Atletico-MG W 15 5 4 6 17:17 19
12 Cruzeiro W 15 3 4 8 14:18 13
13 Sao Jose W 15 2 3 10 11:35 9
14 ESMAC W 15 2 2 11 13:42 8
15 Bragantino W 15 1 4 10 11:23 7
16 Cresspom W 15 1 3 11 12:48 6
Promotion - Brasileiro Women 2022 (Play Offs)