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ESMTK Budapest vs FC Dabas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Takacs Z.
19' Event
Molnar J.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Burzi A.

AI Match Summary

ESMTK Budapest in this NB III - Southeast matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ESMTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
ESMTK Budapest
15%
Draws
16%
FC Dabas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest have won more games recently than FC Dabas.
  • Win probability leans ESMTK Budapest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southeast form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • ESMTK Budapest have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 20%
FC Dabas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMTK Budapest FC Dabas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 3.1 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs FC Dabas
6:0
Mar 1, 2026 NB III - Southeast
FC Dabas vs ESMTK Budapest
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs FC Dabas
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 NB III - Southeast
FC Dabas vs ESMTK Budapest
0:3
Sep 29, 2024 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs FC Dabas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegyi P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Takacs Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

FC Dabas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMTK Budapest 85 / 100
FC Dabas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMTK Budapest FC Dabas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMTK Budapest scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

FC Dabas let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: ESMTK Budapest remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ESMTK Budapest VS FC Dabas
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMTK Budapest

(Home)
03 Oct
Szegedi
1 : 4
ESMTK Budapest
27 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
6 : 0
FC Dabas
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
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FC Dabas

(Away)
04 Oct
FC Dabas
1 : 0
Csepel
27 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
6 : 0
FC Dabas
20 Sept
FC Dabas
0 : 1
III. Keruleti TVE
12 Sept
Cigand SE
3 : 2
FC Dabas
05 Sept
Gyulai Termal
5 : 0
FC Dabas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyulai Termal 11 11 0 0 39:9 33
2 III. Keruleti TVE 10 8 0 2 15:4 24
3 ESMTK Budapest 10 6 3 1 27:10 21
4 Ujpest II 11 5 3 3 28:18 18
5 Vasas II 10 5 2 3 23:11 17
6 Szeged-Csanad GA II 10 4 4 2 19:14 16
7 Monori 10 3 5 2 21:17 14
8 FC Dabas 10 4 1 5 13:24 13
9 Csepel 10 3 4 3 20:16 13
10 Szolnoki MAV 10 3 4 3 23:24 13
11 Honved II 10 3 2 5 18:15 11
12 Bekescsaba 1912 10 2 4 4 14:15 10
13 Sandorfalvi 10 2 1 7 7:28 7
14 Hodmezovasarhely 10 1 4 5 11:22 7
15 BKV Elore 10 1 1 8 7:36 4
16 Szegedi 10 0 2 8 12:34 2
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)