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ESOF La Roche vs Saumur Olympique

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ESOF La Roche play Saumur Olympique in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, ESOF La Roche averaged 1 goals scored and 3.25 conceded. Saumur Olympique averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, ESOF La Roche won 0, Saumur Olympique won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 2, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for ESOF La Roche and 1.55 for Saumur Olympique. This points to a Saumur Olympique double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
ESOF La Roche
30%
Draws
46%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saumur Olympique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • ESOF La Roche picked up more points recently compared to Saumur Olympique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
ESOF La Roche Clean Sheet 15%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESOF La Roche Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 10
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1 1.35
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
ESOF La Roche vs Saumur Olympique
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESOF La Roche Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecoz Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plamedi B. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESOF La Roche 25 / 100
Saumur Olympique 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESOF La Roche Saumur Olympique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saumur Olympique or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ESOF La Roche attacking → ← attacking Saumur Olympique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESOF La Roche scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Saumur Olympique let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

ESOF La Roche went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00