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EsPa vs BK-46

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bushue J.
32' Event
Happonen J.
34' Event
Hagelberg S.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group B 2017 game between EsPa and BK-46 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EsPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
EsPa
15%
Draws
0%
BK-46
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EsPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • EsPa haven't matched BK-46's recent run of results.
  • Model gives EsPa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors BK-46 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
EsPa Clean Sheet 20%
BK-46 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EsPa BK-46
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.35
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs BK-46
4:1
Jul 7, 2017 Kakkonen Group B
BK-46 vs EsPa
2:0
Jul 24, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
EsPa vs BK-46
1:3
May 8, 2016 Kakkonen Group B
BK-46 vs EsPa
8:0
Sep 22, 2013 Kakkonen South
BK-46 vs EsPa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EsPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Happonen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hagelberg S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

BK-46 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bushue J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EsPa 85 / 100
BK-46 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EsPa BK-46

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EsPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BK-46's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: BK-46 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: EsPa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

EsPa VS BK-46
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EsPa

(Home)
29 May
Klubi 04
8 : 2
EsPa
06 May
EsPa
1 : 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
09 Apr
EsPa 2
0 : 6
EsPa
16 Apr
EsPa
0 : 1
Honka
07 May
NuPS
2 : 1
EsPa
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BK-46

(Away)
29 Sept
Kiffen
3 : 2
BK-46
22 Sept
BK-46
1 : 5
MuSa
15 Sept
KaPa
1 : 0
BK-46
09 Sept
HJS
3 : 1
BK-46
26 Aug
BK-46
2 : 3
Espoo
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