Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Espaly vs Dijon

France France

Coupe de France 2024/2025 Stade du Viouzou 2, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Fri, Dec 20, 2024
2 - 1
07:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Vargas-Rios H.
45'
Russo L.
46'
Sub
Schur K. In: Duville-Parsemain A.
Out: Schur K.

AI Match Summary

Espaly in this Coupe de France 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Espaly
20%
Draws
38%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Espaly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Dijon have won more games recently than Espaly.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Dijon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Espaly, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Espaly Clean Sheet 19%
Dijon Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espaly Dijon
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 0 9
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Coupe de France
Espaly vs Dijon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Espaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjeci K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lembezat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espaly 36 / 100
Dijon 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espaly Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dijon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espaly found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (6 games).

Dijon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Espaly has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dijon
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espaly

(Home)
15 Jan
Espaly
2 : 4
PSG
20 Dec
Espaly
2 : 1
Dijon
01 Dec
Couzeix-Chaptelat
0 : 3
Espaly
16 Nov
Espaly
1 : 0
Biars-Bretenoux
19 Nov
Feurs
2 : 1
Espaly
Page 1 of 2

Dijon

(Away)
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1
Dijon
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montagnarde 1
Tours 2
Cesson 3
TA Rennes 2
Fief-Geste 1
Monnaie 3
Ruffiac Malestroit 0
Lorient 2
Ales 4
Beaucairois 2
Cannes 2
Grau-du-Roi 0
Istres 4
Cannet Rocheville 0
Grenoble 2
Villefranche 1
Saint Lo Manche 1
SU Dives 2
AS Dragon 3
Avranches 2
Saint-Pierroise 1
Saint-Denis 4
Etoile Maritime 0
Vertou 3
Agde 2
Romorantin 1
Comtal 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Lempdes 0
Carnoux F.C. 1
Anduze 1
Hauts Lyonnais 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
FC PRJ 0
SA Merignac 6
Beaumont Saint-Cyr 1
Merignac 0
Vitre 0
Laval 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Concarneau 2
Saint-Pierre Milizac 1
Dinan 2
Serquigny-Nassandres 0
Guingamp 5
Maladrerie 1
Bolbec 2
Chartres 0
Caen 4
Guereins 0
Macon 4
Gueugnon 1
Sochaux 3
Angouleme CFC 2
Rodez 1
Feytiat 0
Clermont 3
FC Hettange Grande 3
Luneville 4
Sarre Union 0
Thaon 2
Calais Beau Marais 3
Paris 15 1
Fleury-Merogis 1
Amiens SC 2
Le Touquet 2
Porto Portugais 1
Les Ulis 1
RC Calais 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Saint-Philbert 3
Thouars 0
Bayonne 1
Pau 3
Liancourt Clermont 1
Bretigny Foot 0
Paris FC 1
Quevilly 2
Labourse 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Haubourdin 1
Red Star 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
ASJR Football 0
Bourgoin Jallieu 4
Olympique de Valence 1
Arles-Avignon 0
Valence FC 1
Marignane GCB 0
Allobroges Asafia 0
Martigues 5
Raismes 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 5
Lucciana 2
OCPAM 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Mutzig 1
Illkirch 0
Jeunesse 1
Moulien 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Montferrand 0
Saint-Jean 4
Canet Roussillon 1
Versailles 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
ESB Marboz 0
Cluses Scionzier 1
F.C. Du Foron 1
Troyes 3
Raon L Etape 2
Biesheim 1
Obernai FCSR 0
Metz 3
Bressuire 0
Bordeaux 2
Les Herbiers 2
AC Ajaccio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Niort 0
Orleans 3
Cazaux 0
La Roche Vendee 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
Saint-Omer 1
US Noyelles S/Lens 2
JA Drancy 2
U.S. Pays de Cassel 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Ginglin Cesson 2
Alencon 0
Rouen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
US Nousseviller 0
Colmar 3
Blenod 0
Haguenau 1
Houilles 0
Boulogne 3
Beauvais 1
Chantilly 0
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstaing Chereng 0
Aubervilliers 4
Bethune 0
Dunkerque 1
Paimpol 0
Stade Briochin 3
COBSP 1
Saint-Malo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Le Havre -
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Jura Dolois 0
Football Club de Chaumont 2
GOAL FC 3
Valdahon Vercel 0
Jura Sud 4
Vesoul 1
Annecy 6
Epinal 2
Nancy 4
Freyming 0
Bastia 4
Fontenay 1
ESOF La Roche 2
Samaritaine 1
RC Saint Joseph 2
USC Corte 2
Linas-Montlhery 1
Crepy-en-Valois 0
Diables Noirs 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Avenir Mourenxois 0
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Colomiers 2
Vierzon Foot 3
Vannes 1
Le Mans 2
St. Colomban Locmine 4
Sable 2
Mana 0
Etoile Matoury 3
CA Boulay 0
Thionville 3
Roubaix 4
Neuilly Marne 5
Arras 0
Valenciennes 2
Couzeix-Chaptelat 1
Sauveteurs Brivois 0
Espaly 1
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chambery 2
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Grandvillars 2
Dijon 4
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Tours 3
Cesson 0
Monnaie 0
Lorient 5
Ales 1
Cannes 5
Istres 0
Grenoble 4
SU Dives 6
AS Dragon 1
Saint-Denis 1
Vertou 0
Agde 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 5
TBD -
Montpellier -
Carnoux F.C. 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
SA Merignac 2
Beaumont Saint-Cyr 1
Laval 3
Concarneau 2
Dinan 1
Guingamp 4
Bolbec 0
Caen 6
Macon 0
Sochaux 2
Angouleme CFC 1
Clermont 2
Luneville 0
Thaon 4
Calais Beau Marais 0
Amiens SC 3
Le Touquet 0
RC Calais 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Saint-Philbert 2
Pau 1
Liancourt Clermont 0
Quevilly 1
FC Bobigny 93 3
Red Star 2
TBD -
Angers -
Bourgoin Jallieu 3
Olympique de Valence 0
Valence FC 0
Martigues 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Lucciana 0
TBD -
Lyon -
Mutzig 4
Jeunesse 1
TBD -
Reims -
Saint-Jean 2
Versailles 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Cluses Scionzier 0
Troyes 1
Raon L Etape 0
Metz 1
Bordeaux 2
Les Herbiers 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Orleans 1
La Roche Vendee 2
TBD -
Brest -
US Noyelles S/Lens 0
JA Drancy 3
TBD -
Nantes -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Ginglin Cesson 0
Rouen 3
TBD -
Lille -
Colmar 1
Haguenau 2
Boulogne 4
Beauvais 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
Aubervilliers 0
Dunkerque 2
Stade Briochin 1
Saint-Malo 0
TBD -
Le Havre -
Rumilly Vallieres 1
GOAL FC 2
Jura Sud 0
Annecy 1
Nancy 0
Bastia 2
ESOF La Roche 1
RC Saint Joseph 3
USC Corte 2
Diables Noirs 0
TBD -
Nice -
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Vierzon Foot 0
Le Mans 4
St. Colomban Locmine 0
Etoile Matoury 0
Thionville 2
Neuilly Marne 3
Valenciennes 4
Couzeix-Chaptelat 0
Espaly 3
Chambery 0
Dijon 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Tours 0
Lorient 3
Cannes 3
Grenoble 2
SU Dives 2
Saint-Denis 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 4
Montpellier 0
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Toulouse 1
SA Merignac 0
Laval 1
Guingamp 2
Caen 1
Sochaux 1
Clermont 0
Thaon 2
Amiens SC 1
RC Calais 0
Strasbourg 3
Saint-Philbert 0
Quevilly 2
FC Bobigny 93 0
Angers 1
Bourgoin Jallieu 4
Martigues 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Lyon 2
Mutzig 1
Reims 3
Saint-Jean 1
Monaco 4
Troyes 3
Metz 0
Bordeaux 1
Rennes 4
La Roche Vendee 0
Brest 1
JA Drancy 0
Nantes 4
St Etienne 0
Marseille 4
Rouen 0
Lille 1
Haguenau 4
Boulogne 1
Auxerre 0
Dunkerque 1
Stade Briochin 1
Le Havre 0
GOAL FC 1
Annecy 2
Bastia 5
RC Saint Joseph 0
USC Corte 1
Nice 2
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Le Mans 7
Thionville 2
Valenciennes 3
Espaly 2
Dijon 1
Lens 1
PSG 2
1/16-finals
Lorient 1
Cannes 2
SU Dives 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Toulouse 2
Laval 1
Guingamp 3
Sochaux 2
Thaon 2
Strasbourg 3
Quevilly 2
Angers 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 3
Lyon 2
Reims 2
Monaco 1
Troyes 1
Rennes 0
Brest 2
Nantes 1
Marseille 1
Lille 2
Haguenau 1
Dunkerque 3
Stade Briochin 2
Annecy 1
Bastia 0
Nice 1
Le Mans 2
Valenciennes 1
Espaly 2
PSG 4
1/8-finals
Cannes 5
SU Dives 3
Toulouse 0
Guingamp 2
Strasbourg 1
Angers 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 0
Reims 1
Troyes 1
Brest 2
Lille 1
Dunkerque 2
Stade Briochin 2
Nice 1
Le Mans 0
PSG 2
Quarter-finals
Cannes 3
Guingamp 1
Angers 1
Reims 2
Brest 2
Dunkerque 3
Stade Briochin 0
PSG 7
Semi-finals
Cannes 1
Reims 2
Dunkerque 2
PSG 4
Final
Reims 0
PSG 3