Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Espanyol W vs Real Madrid W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa de la Reina Women 2025/2026 Ciutat Esportiva Dani Jarque, Barcelona
Espanyol W Logo

Espanyol W

0 - 4
FT
Real Madrid W Logo

Real Madrid W

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Caicedo L.
Assist: Weir C.
26'
Torras M.
44' Event
Santiago I.
Assist: del Castillo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Real Madrid W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Espanyol W
35%
Draws
32%
Real Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid W come out ahead of Espanyol W on wins alone.
  • Espanyol W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Real Madrid W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Madrid W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Madrid W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Espanyol W Clean Sheet 17%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espanyol W Real Madrid W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 23
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Copa de la Reina Women
Espanyol W vs Real Madrid W
0:4
Nov 1, 2025 Liga F Women
Espanyol W vs Real Madrid W
0:1
Jan 31, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W
5:0
Sep 6, 2024 Liga F Women
Espanyol W vs Real Madrid W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Espanyol W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santiago I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espanyol W 57 / 100
Real Madrid W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espanyol W Real Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espanyol W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Espanyol W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Espanyol W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Madrid W has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Espanyol W VS Real Madrid W
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espanyol W

(Home)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
27 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 1
Espanyol W
19 Sept
Espanyol W
5 : 1
Madrid CFF W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
05 Sept
Espanyol W
0 : 1
Badalona W
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid W

(Away)
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0
Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Guiniguada Apolinario W 1
Dep. A Coruna W 3
TBD -
Real Sociedad W -
CA Osasuna W 0
Badalona W 3
TBD -
Granada CF W -
Valencia W 1
Espanyol W 2
TBD -
Real Madrid W -
Alaves W 4
Levante W 0
TBD -
Barcelona W -
Sport Extremadura CD W 1
Alhama W 2
TBD -
Atl. Madrid W -
CE Europa W 2
Logrono W 1
TBD -
Athletic Bilbao W -
Huelva W 1
Madrid CFF W 7
TBD -
Eibar W -
Real Oviedo W 2
Sevilla W 3
TBD -
Costa Adeje Tenerife W -
1/8-finals
Dep. A Coruna W 1
Real Sociedad W 4
Badalona W 1
Granada CF W 0
Espanyol W 0
Real Madrid W 4
Alaves W 1
Barcelona W 6
Alhama W 1
Atl. Madrid W 2
CE Europa W 0
Athletic Bilbao W 3
Madrid CFF W 3
Eibar W 2
Sevilla W 1
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 2
Quarter-finals
Real Sociedad W 0
Badalona W 1
Real Madrid W 0
Barcelona W 4
Atl. Madrid W 4
Athletic Bilbao W 1
Madrid CFF W 0
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 1
Semi-finals
Badalona W 1
Barcelona W 4
Atl. Madrid W 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 0
Final
Barcelona W 3
Atl. Madrid W 1