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Esperanca de Lagos vs Atletico CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between Esperanca de Lagos and Atletico CP finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Esperanca de Lagos
20%
Draws
69%
Atletico CP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Atletico CP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Atletico CP taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca de Lagos Atletico CP
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 24
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs Atletico CP
0:2
Nov 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Atletico CP vs Esperanca de Lagos
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca de Lagos 10 / 100
Atletico CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca de Lagos Atletico CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Esperanca de Lagos scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Atletico CP has conceded goals in 54% of their last 41 outings.

Solid form: Esperanca de Lagos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico CP
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca de Lagos

(Home)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 6

Atletico CP

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)