Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esperanca de Lagos vs Uniao Montemor

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperanca de Lagos in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group F matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperanca de Lagos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Esperanca de Lagos
33%
Draws
27%
Uniao Montemor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Esperanca de Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esperanca de Lagos lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Montemor.
  • Esperanca de Lagos are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Montemor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca de Lagos Uniao Montemor
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Uniao Montemor vs Esperanca de Lagos
1:2
Nov 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Esperanca de Lagos vs Uniao Montemor
2:1
Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Esperanca de Lagos vs Uniao Montemor
0:1
Mar 1, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Uniao Montemor vs Esperanca de Lagos
1:0
Dec 29, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Uniao Montemor vs Esperanca de Lagos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca de Lagos 50 / 100
Uniao Montemor 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca de Lagos Uniao Montemor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao Montemor conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Uniao Montemor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Esperanca de Lagos's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca de Lagos VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca de Lagos

(Home)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 7

Uniao Montemor

(Away)
08 May
Juv. Evora
3 : 0
Uniao Montemor
01 May
Uniao Montemor
1 : 5
Serpa
24 Apr
FC Barreirense
1 : 0
Uniao Montemor
10 Apr
Uniao Montemor
0 : 2
Juv. Evora
03 Apr
Serpa
1 : 0
Uniao Montemor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olhanense16106032:1536
2Moncarapachense1696131:1233
3Louletano1695237:1532
4Juv. Evora1666426:1224
5Esperanca de Lagos1654720:2519
6Serpa1644818:3216
7Imortal162689:2612
8Uniao Montemor16331012:2812
9FC Barreirense1616910:309
10Pinhalnovense00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)