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Esperanca vs Atletic America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Andorra Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ruiz M.
53' Event
Salguero L.
79' Event
Lopez R.

AI Match Summary

Atletic America in this Andorra Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Esperanca
15%
Draws
0%
Atletic America
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Esperanca have won more games recently than Atletic America.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Esperanca taking it.
  • Esperanca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletic America, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 19%
Atletic America Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca Atletic America
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.3 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Primera Divisió
Atletic America vs Esperanca
0:5
Feb 24, 2024 Primera Divisió
Atletic America vs Esperanca
6:3
Jan 14, 2024 Andorra Cup
Esperanca vs Atletic America
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Atletic America
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Atletic America Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salguero L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 85 / 100
Atletic America 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca Atletic America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletic America let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Atletic America's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Esperanca scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca

(Home)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
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Atletic America

(Away)
13 Mar
Atletic Escaldes
5 : 0
Atletic America
19 May
Atletic Escaldes
8 : 0
Atletic America
12 May
Atletic America
0 : 3
Pas de la Casa
05 May
Ordino
1 : 0
Atletic America
28 Apr
Atletic America
1 : 4
Penya
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Inter Escaldes -
TBD -
Esperanca 1
Atletic America 2
Ordino -
TBD -
TBD -
Pas de la Casa -
FC Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletic Escaldes -
Carroi 2
UE Santa Coloma 3
Penya 3
FC Santa Coloma 2
Quarter-finals
Inter Escaldes 1
Atletic America 0
Ordino 1
Pas de la Casa 2
FC Rangers 0
Atletic Escaldes 4
UE Santa Coloma 1
Penya 0
Semi-finals
Inter Escaldes 3
Pas de la Casa 4
Atletic Escaldes 0
UE Santa Coloma 1
Final
Pas de la Casa 0
UE Santa Coloma 1