Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esperanca vs Atletic Escaldes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Salgueiro G.
46'
Sub
Alvarez A. In: Gallego A.
Out: Alvarez A.
46'
Sub
Topo In: Vieira G.
Out: Topo

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Esperanca and Atletic Escaldes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletic Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Esperanca
20%
Draws
33%
Atletic Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletic Escaldes come out ahead of Esperanca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esperanca a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletic Escaldes have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 20%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca Atletic Escaldes
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.08 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Andorra Cup
Atletic Escaldes vs Esperanca
5:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Esperanca
2:1
Dec 10, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Esperanca
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Atletic Escaldes
0:1
May 11, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Esperanca
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperanca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Piloto R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 67 / 100
Atletic Escaldes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca Atletic Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Atletic Escaldes conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Esperanca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Esperanca found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Esperanca VS Atletic Escaldes
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca

(Home)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

Atletic Escaldes

(Away)
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
30 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
0 : 2
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)