Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esperanca vs FC Santa Coloma

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperanca play FC Santa Coloma in the Primera Divisió. FC Santa Coloma are favorites here. Recently, Esperanca averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. FC Santa Coloma averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, Esperanca won 0, FC Santa Coloma won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Esperanca and 1.56 for FC Santa Coloma. This points to a FC Santa Coloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Esperanca
19%
Draws
60%
FC Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: FC Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Esperanca picked up more points recently compared to FC Santa Coloma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 15%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca FC Santa Coloma
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.85 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.85 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
4:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs FC Santa Coloma
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
4:0
Jan 19, 2025 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperanca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Betancor Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 22 / 100
FC Santa Coloma 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca FC Santa Coloma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santa Coloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC Santa Coloma & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esperanca attacking → ← attacking FC Santa Coloma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca scored in 48% of their last 27 games.

FC Santa Coloma let in goals in 50% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Esperanca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Santa Coloma lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 47
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Escaldes24173447:2454
2UE Santa Coloma24146442:1648
3FC Rangers24153646:2248
4FC Santa Coloma24135645:2044
5Atletic Escaldes241041031:2634
6Penya24731419:4124
7Ordino24641427:4222
8Carroi24451515:5517
9Esperanca24351618:4414
10Pas de la Casa00000:00