Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esperanca vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Cardoso M.
36'
Mesquita Lopes de Souza R. M.
41' Event
Llorente D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Penya in this Primera Divisió matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Esperanca
6%
Draws
4%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Penya lately — more wins on the board than Esperanca.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Esperanca taking it.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Penya here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 68%
Penya Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca Penya
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Penya
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Esperanca
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Penya
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Esperanca
4:1
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Penya
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 95 / 100
Penya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Esperanca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Penya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca VS Penya
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca

(Home)
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
Esperanca
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
19 Apr
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

Penya

(Away)
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
26 Apr
Ordino
0 : 1
Penya
18 Apr
Penya
0 : 2
UE Santa Coloma
13 Apr
Esperanca
0 : 1
Penya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Escaldes24173447:2454
2UE Santa Coloma24146442:1648
3FC Rangers24153646:2248
4FC Santa Coloma24135645:2044
5Atletic Escaldes241041031:2634
6Penya24731419:4124
7Ordino24641427:4222
8Carroi24451515:5517
9Esperanca24351618:4414
10Pas de la Casa00000:00
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)