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Esperance Tunis vs Club Africain

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperance Tunis play Club Africain in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esperance Tunis averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.47 conceded. Club Africain averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Esperance Tunis won 2, Club Africain won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Esperance Tunis and 1.13 for Club Africain. This points to a Esperance Tunis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Esperance Tunis
31%
Draws
33%
Club Africain
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Esperance Tunis picked up more points recently compared to Club Africain.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 21%
Club Africain Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis Club Africain
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 24 19
Draws 9 11
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.63 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Club Africain
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Club Africain vs Esperance Tunis
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Club Africain vs Esperance Tunis
1:3
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Club Africain
2:2
Jun 2, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Club Africain vs Esperance Tunis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperance Tunis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Club Africain Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaalouni G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 37 / 100
Club Africain 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis Club Africain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esperance Tunis or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esperance Tunis attacking → ← attacking Club Africain

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperance Tunis scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Club Africain let in goals in 31% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Esperance Tunis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Club Africain lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

81 Points in last 5 68
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718