Sport Picks
Esperance Tunis vs AS Gabes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès 
Match Events
11'
11'
Yan Sasse
(Penalty)
29'
29'
36'
36'
Khadhraoui M.
AI Match Summary
Esperance Tunis in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperance Tunis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperance Tunis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Esperance Tunis lately — more wins on the board than AS Gabes.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on Esperance Tunis taking it.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Esperance Tunis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 68%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esperance Tunis | AS Gabes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 15, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs AS Gabes
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Esperance Tunis
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Esperance Tunis
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs AS Gabes
2:1
Apr 10, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Esperance Tunis
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esperance Tunis Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
AS Gabes Compare
Top Goalscorer Khadhraoui M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esperance Tunis 95 / 100
AS Gabes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esperance Tunis AS Gabes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esperance Tunis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esperance Tunis's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: AS Gabes conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Esperance Tunis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Esperance Tunis VS AS Gabes
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Esperance Tunis
(Home) 04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1 Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1 AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1 Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1 Military Union
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1 AS Marsa
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
06 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 0 San Pedro
Page 1 of 3
AS Gabes
(Away) 03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0 AS Gabes
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
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03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0 AS Gabes
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
05 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0 AS Gabes
22 Mar
Metlaoui
5 : 2 AS Gabes
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
