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Esperance Tunis vs JS Kairouan

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Lakhder S.
28' Event
Boualia K.
46'
Sub
Drager M. In: Bouzaiene E.
Out: Drager M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between Esperance Tunis and JS Kairouan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esperance Tunis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Esperance Tunis
11%
Draws
9%
JS Kairouan
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Esperance Tunis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Esperance Tunis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Esperance Tunis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 68%
JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis JS Kairouan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs JS Kairouan
1:0
Aug 21, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
JS Kairouan vs Esperance Tunis
0:4
Apr 18, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs JS Kairouan
3:1
Feb 17, 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1
JS Kairouan vs Esperance Tunis
0:3
Sep 13, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1
JS Kairouan vs Esperance Tunis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperance Tunis Compare

Top Goalscorer Boualia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

JS Kairouan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 86 / 100
JS Kairouan 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis JS Kairouan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esperance Tunis scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Esperance Tunis remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

JS Kairouan has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Esperance Tunis VS JS Kairouan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
25% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718