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Esperance Tunis vs Olympique Beja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperance Tunis host Olympique Beja in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Esperance Tunis at 1.66 goals for, 0.72 against; Olympique Beja at 0.8 for, 1.3 against. Past meetings favor Esperance Tunis slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.31 - 0.65) back Esperance Tunis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Esperance Tunis
30%
Draws
14%
Olympique Beja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympique Beja haven't matched Esperance Tunis's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Esperance Tunis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Esperance Tunis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 20%
Olympique Beja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis Olympique Beja
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.66 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs Esperance Tunis
0:3
Sep 24, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Olympique Beja
2:0
May 11, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs Esperance Tunis
0:5
Jan 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Olympique Beja
1:1
Jun 7, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Olympique Beja
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 67 / 100
Olympique Beja 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis Olympique Beja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperance Tunis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperance Tunis scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Olympique Beja has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Esperance Tunis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esperance Tunis VS Olympique Beja
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperance Tunis

(Home)
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
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Olympique Beja

(Away)
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
CA Bizertin
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
23 Aug
Zarzis
1 : 0
Olympique Beja
14 May
Club Africain
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)