Sport Picks
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès 
Match Events
21'
21'
Tka H.
29'
29'
Jelassi H.
33'
33'
Sghaier S.
AI Match Summary
Esperance Tunis in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperance Tunis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esperance Tunis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Esperance Tunis have won more games recently than Stade Tunisien.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Esperance Tunis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esperance Tunis | Stade Tunisien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Esperance Tunis
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Super Cup
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Super Cup
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esperance Tunis Compare
Top Goalscorer Tka H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Stade Tunisien Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esperance Tunis 41 / 100
Stade Tunisien 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esperance Tunis Stade Tunisien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esperance Tunis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Esperance Tunis scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Esperance Tunis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Stade Tunisien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Esperance Tunis VS Stade Tunisien
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.8
50% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Esperance Tunis
(Home) 04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1 Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1 AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1 Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1 Military Union
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1 AS Marsa
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
06 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 0 San Pedro
Page 1 of 3
Stade Tunisien
(Away) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
03 May
Club Africain
2 : 0 Stade Tunisien
26 Apr
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0 Stade Tunisien
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
