Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Tka H.
29'
Jelassi H.
33'
Sghaier S.

AI Match Summary

Esperance Tunis in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperance Tunis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Esperance Tunis
6%
Draws
4%
Stade Tunisien
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Esperance Tunis have won more games recently than Stade Tunisien.
  • Model gives Esperance Tunis a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Esperance Tunis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis Stade Tunisien
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 0.5 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Esperance Tunis
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Super Cup
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Super Cup
Esperance Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperance Tunis Compare

Top Goalscorer Tka H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Stade Tunisien Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 95 / 100
Stade Tunisien 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis Stade Tunisien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esperance Tunis scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Esperance Tunis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Stade Tunisien's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Stade Tunisien has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esperance Tunis VS Stade Tunisien
0.5 Goals Scored 0.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
25% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperance Tunis

(Home)
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3
Esperance Tunis
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3
Esperance Tunis
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
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Stade Tunisien

(Away)
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
03 May
Club Africain
2 : 0
Stade Tunisien
29 Apr
Stade Tunisien
1 : 2
Jeunesse Sportive
26 Apr
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0
Stade Tunisien
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)