Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2010

Ariquemes FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Espigao play Ariquemes FC in the Campeonato Rondoniense 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Espigao averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Ariquemes FC averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Espigao won 3, Ariquemes FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2013 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Espigao and 0.99 for Ariquemes FC. This points to a Espigao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Espigao

35%

Draws

20%

Ariquemes FC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Espigao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Espigao picked up more points recently compared to Ariquemes FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Espigao Clean Sheet 23%

Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Espigao	Ariquemes FC
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	13	8
Draws	9	12
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.8	1.19
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.42

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2013 Rondoniense

Ariquemes FC vs Espigao

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Mar 17, 2013 Rondoniense

Espigao vs Ariquemes FC

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

May 31, 2012 Rondoniense

Espigao vs Ariquemes FC

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

May 27, 2012 Rondoniense

Ariquemes FC vs Espigao

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

May 23, 2012 Rondoniense

Espigao vs Ariquemes FC

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espigao 45 / 100

Ariquemes FC 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Espigao Ariquemes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Espigao or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Espigao attacking → ← attacking Ariquemes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espigao scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Ariquemes FC let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Espigao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ariquemes FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rolim de Moura	14	10	3	1	40:10	33
2	Vilhena	14	9	5	0	37:8	32
3	Espigao	14	8	3	3	34:19	27
4	Ariquemes FC	14	7	3	4	22:19	24
5	Moto Clube RO	14	7	1	6	31:21	22
6	Shallon	14	3	2	9	20:27	11
7	Genus	14	3	1	10	16:36	10
8	Cruzeiro RO	14	0	0	14	9:69	0