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Espigao vs Rolim de Moura

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2010
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2010 game between Espigao and Rolim de Moura finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espigao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Espigao
20%
Draws
51%
Rolim de Moura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rolim de Moura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Espigao come out ahead of Rolim de Moura on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Rolim de Moura taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Espigao have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Espigao Clean Sheet 20%
Rolim de Moura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espigao Rolim de Moura
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.8 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.53 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 Rondoniense
Rolim de Moura vs Espigao
2:1
Mar 29, 2013 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Rolim de Moura
1:0
May 16, 2012 Rondoniense
Espigao vs Rolim de Moura
6:3
Apr 15, 2012 Rondoniense
Rolim de Moura vs Espigao
1:3
May 8, 2011 Rondoniense
Rolim de Moura vs Espigao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espigao 24 / 100
Rolim de Moura 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espigao Rolim de Moura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rolim de Moura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Espigao scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Rolim de Moura let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Espigao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rolim de Moura
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espigao

(Home)
10 May
Vilhena
3 : 1
Espigao
01 May
Espigao
1 : 0
Ji-Parana
29 Apr
Genus
2 : 2
Espigao
21 Apr
Rolim de Moura
2 : 1
Espigao
14 Apr
Espigao
2 : 4
Pimentense
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Rolim de Moura

(Away)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
02 Apr
Genus
4 : 1
Rolim de Moura
30 Mar
Rolim de Moura
0 : 1
Porto Velho
22 Mar
Rolim de Moura
2 : 2
Guapore
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rolim de Moura 14 10 3 1 40:10 33
2 Vilhena 14 9 5 0 37:8 32
3 Espigao 14 8 3 3 34:19 27
4 Ariquemes FC 14 7 3 4 22:19 24
5 Moto Clube RO 14 7 1 6 31:21 22
6 Shallon 14 3 2 9 20:27 11
7 Genus 14 3 1 10 16:36 10
8 Cruzeiro RO 14 0 0 14 9:69 0
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2010 (Play Offs)