Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Lazzez H.
81'
81'
Mejdi Y.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Espoir Rogba and Chebba finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chebba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chebba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chebba come out ahead of Espoir Rogba on wins alone.
- Model gives Chebba a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Chebba have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 20%
Chebba Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Espoir Rogba | Chebba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 21 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Chebba
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Espoir Rogba
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Espoir Rogba
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Chebba
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Espoir Rogba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Chebba Compare
Top Goalscorer Lazzez H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
Chebba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Espoir Rogba Chebba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chebba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chebba conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Espoir Rogba scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Chebba registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Chebba
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Espoir Rogba
(Home) 23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1 Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0 Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
19 Apr
Espoir Rogba
1 : 5 PS Sakiet Eddaier
15 Mar
Espoir Rogba
3 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 3
Chebba
(Away) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
29 Mar
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Chebba
22 Feb
US Tataouine
2 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
