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Espoir Savalou vs Ayema

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Espoir Savalou and Ayema finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Espoir Savalou
35%
Draws
25%
Ayema
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Espoir Savalou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Espoir Savalou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Espoir Savalou taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Espoir Savalou Clean Sheet 20%
Ayema Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Savalou Ayema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Ayema
0:1
Jan 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Ayema vs Espoir Savalou
0:1
May 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Espoir Savalou vs Ayema
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Ayema vs Espoir Savalou
3:0
Jun 1, 2022 Ligue 1
Ayema vs Espoir Savalou
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir Savalou 49 / 100
Ayema 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Savalou Ayema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espoir Savalou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Savalou's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Espoir Savalou has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ayema has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Espoir Savalou VS Ayema
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir Savalou

(Home)
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
20 Jun
AS Cotonou
1 : 1
Espoir Savalou
13 Jun
Espoir Savalou
2 : 1
Hodio
06 Jun
Krake
2 : 2
Espoir Savalou
30 May
Buffles du Borgou
2 : 3
Espoir Savalou
Page 1 of 6

Ayema

(Away)
27 Sept
Buffles du Borgou
3 : 1
Ayema
20 Jun
Hodio
1 : 1
Ayema
13 Jun
Ayema
1 : 1
Krake
07 Jun
Dragons
1 : 0
Ayema
30 May
Ayema
1 : 0
Bani Ganse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobemap 34 20 7 7 33:19 67
2 Coton FC 34 17 11 6 41:22 62
3 ASPAC 34 16 12 6 47:23 60
4 Loto 34 17 7 10 39:23 58
5 Buffles du Borgou 34 13 12 9 33:23 51
6 Dynamo Abomey 34 12 13 9 26:24 49
7 Espoir Savalou 34 13 10 11 33:34 49
8 AS Cotonou 34 11 14 9 25:20 47
9 Damissa 34 10 15 9 35:36 45
10 Hodio 34 10 13 11 37:33 43
11 ASVO 34 11 9 14 28:31 42
12 Ayema 34 9 13 12 19:20 40
13 Bani Ganse 34 8 15 11 27:31 39
14 Krake 34 8 15 11 33:38 39
15 Dragons 34 9 10 15 31:45 37
16 Cavaliers 34 8 12 14 28:37 36
17 JS Pob 34 7 14 13 31:36 35
18 Dadje 34 3 6 25 25:76 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)