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Espoir vs Liberte

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between Espoir and Liberte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espoir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Espoir
35%
Draws
53%
Liberte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Liberte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Espoir come out ahead of Liberte on wins alone.
  • Model gives Liberte a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Espoir Clean Sheet 19%
Liberte Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Liberte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Super Ligue
Espoir vs Liberte
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Espoir
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Espoir vs Liberte
2:0
Feb 17, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Espoir
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Super Ligue
Espoir vs Liberte
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir 10 / 100
Liberte 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Liberte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liberte conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Espoir scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Espoir remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Espoir VS Liberte
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir

(Home)
18 Jun
JS Tahoua
2 : 2
Espoir
08 Jun
Espoir
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
04 Jun
Espoir
0 : 4
Nigelec
31 May
Police
0 : 0
Espoir
20 May
AS ZAM
2 : 1
Espoir
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Liberte

(Away)
18 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 1
Liberte
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
03 Jun
Sahel
1 : 2
Liberte
31 May
Liberte
0 : 0
Tagour
21 May
AS UAM
0 : 1
Liberte
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