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Espoir vs Morne des Esses

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Espoir Logo

Espoir

2 - 0
FT
Morne des Esses Logo

Morne des Esses

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Espoir and Morne des Esses finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espoir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Espoir
15%
Draws
57%
Morne des Esses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morne des Esses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Espoir come out ahead of Morne des Esses on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Morne des Esses taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Espoir Clean Sheet 17%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Morne des Esses
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Espoir vs Morne des Esses
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs Espoir
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir 23 / 100
Morne des Esses 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Morne des Esses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morne des Esses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Espoir scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Morne des Esses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Morne des Esses registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Espoir VS Morne des Esses
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir

(Home)
12 Sept
Assaut
5 : 0
Espoir
06 Jun
Emulation
4 : 1
Espoir
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
09 May
Espoir
2 : 0
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6

Morne des Esses

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)