Sport Picks

Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026

Espoir

2 - 0

Morne des Esses

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Espoir and Morne des Esses finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espoir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Espoir

20%

Draws

38%

Morne des Esses

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Espoir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Espoir come out ahead of Morne des Esses on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Espoir taking it.
Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Espoir Clean Sheet 20%

Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Espoir	Morne des Esses
Matches Played	30	26
Wins	11	8
Draws	4	6
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.25	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion

Espoir vs Morne des Esses

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Dec 13, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion

Morne des Esses vs Espoir

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir 42 / 100

Morne des Esses 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Espoir Morne des Esses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Espoir scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Morne des Esses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Difficult form: Morne des Esses registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Espoir VS Morne des Esses

1.25 Goals Scored 0.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RC Saint Joseph	26	21	5	0	64:10	94
2	Franciscain	26	20	3	3	54:16	89
3	Golden Lion	26	15	4	7	51:27	75
4	Club Colonial	26	15	2	9	44:30	73
5	Samaritaine	26	11	7	8	49:27	66
6	Club Peleen	26	11	4	11	40:43	63
7	Inter de Sainte-Anne	26	9	7	10	33:31	60
8	Trenelle	26	7	10	9	37:41	57
9	Golden Star	26	9	4	13	32:44	57
10	Morne des Esses	26	8	6	12	28:40	56
11	Espoir	26	8	4	14	30:49	54
12	Aiglon Lamentin	26	6	3	17	33:74	47
13	Robert	26	5	5	16	22:47	46
14	Emulation	26	2	6	18	18:56	38