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Espoir vs US Gendarmerie

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between Espoir and US Gendarmerie finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Espoir
6%
Draws
90%
US Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on US Gendarmerie taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Espoir Clean Sheet 14%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir US Gendarmerie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super Ligue
Espoir vs US Gendarmerie
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Espoir
2:1
Jul 11, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Espoir
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super Ligue
Espoir vs US Gendarmerie
2:2
Mar 5, 2024 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Espoir
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir 10 / 100
US Gendarmerie 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir US Gendarmerie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

US Gendarmerie let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Espoir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Espoir VS US Gendarmerie
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%