Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021

Felanitx

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esporles play Felanitx in the Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021. Felanitx are favorites here. Recently, Esporles averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Felanitx averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Esporles won 1, Felanitx won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 12, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Esporles and 1.05 for Felanitx. This points to a Felanitx double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Esporles

22%

Draws

61%

Felanitx

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Felanitx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Esporles picked up more points recently compared to Felanitx.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Esporles Clean Sheet 22%

Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Esporles	Felanitx
Matches Played	30	41
Wins	1	11
Draws	6	10
Losses	23	20
Goals Scored	0.7	1.22
Goals Conceded	2.47	1.59

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Felanitx vs Esporles

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Esporles vs Felanitx

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

0:3

Jan 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Felanitx vs Esporles

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Esporles vs Felanitx

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Apr 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Esporles vs Felanitx

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporles 20 / 100

Felanitx 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Esporles Felanitx

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Felanitx Win (2)

Secondary Pick Felanitx & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esporles attacking → ← attacking Felanitx

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Felanitx let in goals in 80% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Esporles went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Felanitx lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 43

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63