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Esporles vs Ferriolense

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Esporles and Ferriolense finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferriolense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Esporles
15%
Draws
64%
Ferriolense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferriolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferriolense come out ahead of Esporles on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ferriolense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Esporles Clean Sheet 10%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporles Ferriolense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 0.7 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Ferriolense
0:4
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Esporles
3:1
Feb 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Ferriolense
3:3
Sep 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Esporles
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Ferriolense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporles 10 / 100
Ferriolense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporles Ferriolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferriolense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ferriolense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Esporles scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esporles VS Ferriolense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporles

(Home)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
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Ferriolense

(Away)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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