Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Llosetense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llosetense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llosetense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Llosetense have won more games recently than Esporles.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Llosetense taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Llosetense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Esporles Clean Sheet 10%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esporles | Llosetense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 1 | 22 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.47 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Llosetense
0:2
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Esporles
1:0
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Esporles
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Llosetense
3:4
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Esporles
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esporles 10 / 100
Llosetense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esporles Llosetense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llosetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 41 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Esporles found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Esporles stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Llosetense
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Esporles
(Home) 20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2 Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0 Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1 Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3 Soller
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20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2 Cardassar
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3 Soller
08 May
Esporles
0 : 3 Felanitx
24 Apr
Esporles
1 : 1 Genova
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Llosetense
(Away) 12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0 Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0 Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1 Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1 Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
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12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0 Llosetense
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1 Llosetense
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1 Llosetense
11 Apr
Manacor
1 : 0 Llosetense
28 Mar
Binissalem
2 : 0 Llosetense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
