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Esporte Limoeiro vs Vila Real

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2025
Esporte Limoeiro Logo

Esporte Limoeiro

0 - 3
FT
Vila Real Logo

Vila Real

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Veraldo
59' Event
Valdo Bacabal
85' Event
Gleryston
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vila Real in this Cearense 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Esporte Limoeiro
15%
Draws
53%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Real have won more games recently than Esporte Limoeiro.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Esporte Limoeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporte Limoeiro Vila Real
Matches Played 22 19
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.82 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Esporte Limoeiro
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Esporte Limoeiro
0:0
Jul 13, 2025 Cearense 3
Esporte Limoeiro vs Vila Real
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esporte Limoeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Veraldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdo Bacabal
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Limoeiro 36 / 100
Vila Real 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporte Limoeiro Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vila Real conceded in 68% of 19 recent games.

Esporte Limoeiro scored in 55% of their last 22 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Esporte Limoeiro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esporte Limoeiro VS Vila Real
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporte Limoeiro

(Home)
20 Sept
Acopiara
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
13 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
05 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
29 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Esporte Limoeiro
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
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Vila Real

(Away)
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crateus 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Guarany SC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Vila Real 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
4 Esporte Limoeiro 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Cearense 3 2025 (Play Offs)