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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Murilo
83' Event
Vieira G. R.

AI Match Summary

The Copa FGF 2025 game between Esportivo Bento Goncalves and Brasil de Pelotas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
30%
Draws
34%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves haven't matched Brasil de Pelotas's recent run of results.
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 20%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Copa FGF
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1
Mar 6, 2021 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1
Jan 29, 2020 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:0
Feb 20, 2014 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieira G. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 36 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Brasil de Pelotas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Brasil de Pelotas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Esportivo Bento Goncalves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brasil de Pelotas
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pelotas751119:316
2SC Gaucho742111:314
3Brasil de Pelotas734016:413
4Esportivo Bento Goncalves733112:612
5Aimore73139:510
6EC Juventude 271245:167
7Internacional 2720510:156
8Sao Gabriel70160:30-4