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Essendon Royals vs Bayside Argonauts

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Brennan A.
35' Event
Cooper M.
41' Event
Brennan A.

AI Match Summary

Bayside Argonauts in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayside Argonauts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Essendon Royals
15%
Draws
58%
Bayside Argonauts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayside Argonauts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Essendon Royals haven't matched Bayside Argonauts's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bayside Argonauts's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayside Argonauts here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 15%
Bayside Argonauts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals Bayside Argonauts
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.36 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Bayside Argonauts vs Essendon Royals
1:0
Jul 4, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Bayside Argonauts vs Essendon Royals
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Bayside Argonauts
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essendon Royals Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bayside Argonauts Compare

Top Goalscorer Brennan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cooper M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals 27 / 100
Bayside Argonauts 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals Bayside Argonauts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayside Argonauts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Bayside Argonauts conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Essendon Royals went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals VS Bayside Argonauts
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals

(Home)
19 Sept
Bayside Argonauts
1 : 0
Essendon Royals
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Keilor Park
29 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2
Essendon Royals
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4
Keilor Park
14 Aug
Eastern Lions
1 : 3
Essendon Royals
Page 1 of 6

Bayside Argonauts

(Away)
19 Sept
Bayside Argonauts
1 : 0
Essendon Royals
12 Sept
Bayside Argonauts
3 : 2
Box Hill
29 Aug
Springvale
0 : 1
Bayside Argonauts
22 Aug
Bayside Argonauts
4 : 2
Goulburn Valley Suns
14 Aug
Nunawading City
0 : 1
Bayside Argonauts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
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