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Essendon Royals W vs Preston Lions W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Essendon Royals W and Preston Lions W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Essendon Royals W
6%
Draws
4%
Preston Lions W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Essendon Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Essendon Royals W come out ahead of Preston Lions W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Essendon Royals W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 20%
Preston Lions W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals W Preston Lions W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 15 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 3.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Preston Lions W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals W 85 / 100
Preston Lions W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals W Preston Lions W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals W found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (22 games).

Defensive concern: Preston Lions W conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Essendon Royals W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals W VS Preston Lions W
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals W

(Home)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
Page 1 of 5

Preston Lions W

(Away)
24 Jul
Preston Lions W
1 : 0
Keilor Park W
18 Jul
Avondale FC W
3 : 0
Preston Lions W
14 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 2
Preston Lions W
10 Jul
Preston Lions W
2 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0
Preston Lions W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
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