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Essube vs Boa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Essube Logo

Essube

1 - 3
FT
Boa Logo

Boa

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Betinho
46' Event
Cauan
50' Event
Guilherme Pires
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boa in this Mineiro 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Essube
15%
Draws
85%
Boa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Boa have won more games recently than Essube.
  • Model gives Boa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Essube Clean Sheet 10%
Boa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essube Boa
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Boa
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Boa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essube Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Pires
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Boa Compare

Top Goalscorer Betinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cauan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essube 10 / 100
Boa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essube Boa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Essube's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Boa has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Boa has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Essube VS Boa
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Essube

(Home)
22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0
Essube
15 Nov
Essube
1 : 3
Boa
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 4

Boa

(Away)
26 Jul
Boa
1 : 1
Aymores
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 5 4 1 0 10:3 13
2 Boa 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
3 Paracatu 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Novo Esporte 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Tupi-MG 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
6 Essube 5 0 0 5 1:10 0
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Main)