Sport Picks

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Essube vs Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Sat, Nov 2, 2024
1 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gabriel V.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Essube
15%
Draws
85%
Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Uberaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uberaba a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Uberaba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Essube, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Essube Clean Sheet 13%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essube Uberaba
Matches Played 20 34
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Uberaba
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Essube
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Uberaba
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Essube
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essube Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Uberaba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essube 10 / 100
Uberaba 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essube Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essube's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Uberaba has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Uberaba lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essube VS Uberaba
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Essube

(Home)
22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0
Essube
15 Nov
Essube
1 : 3
Boa
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 4

Uberaba

(Away)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Paracatu 2
Guarani-MG 3
America TO 1
Essube 1
Uberaba 2
Tupynambas 2
Contagem 1
Semi-finals
Paracatu 1
Guarani-MG 2
Uberaba 2
Tupynambas 0
Final
Guarani-MG 5
Uberaba 1