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Estanciano EC vs Amadense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC Logo

Estanciano EC

2 - 1
FT
Amadense Logo

Amadense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estanciano EC in this Sergipano 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estanciano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Estanciano EC
15%
Draws
14%
Amadense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estanciano EC lately — more wins on the board than Amadense.
  • Estanciano EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 68%
Amadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estanciano EC Amadense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC vs Amadense
2:1
Feb 12, 2017 Sergipano
Amadense vs Estanciano EC
1:0
Jan 24, 2016 Sergipano
Estanciano EC vs Amadense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estanciano EC 95 / 100
Amadense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estanciano EC Amadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Amadense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Estanciano EC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Amadense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estanciano EC VS Amadense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estanciano EC

(Home)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 6

Amadense

(Away)
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1
CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)