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Estanciano EC vs Botafogo ASF

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Estanciano EC and Botafogo ASF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Estanciano EC
20%
Draws
20%
Botafogo ASF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estanciano EC come out ahead of Botafogo ASF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Estanciano EC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo ASF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estanciano EC Botafogo ASF
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.42 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Sergipano 3
Botafogo ASF vs Estanciano EC
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Botafogo ASF vs Estanciano EC
1:2
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Estanciano EC vs Botafogo ASF
1:1
Apr 8, 2017 Sergipano
Estanciano EC vs Botafogo ASF
3:0
Mar 18, 2017 Sergipano
Botafogo ASF vs Estanciano EC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estanciano EC 85 / 100
Botafogo ASF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estanciano EC Botafogo ASF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estanciano EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Botafogo ASF conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Estanciano EC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Estanciano EC VS Botafogo ASF
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estanciano EC

(Home)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 7

Botafogo ASF

(Away)
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)