Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estanciano EC vs CS Maruinense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Estanciano EC and CS Maruinense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estanciano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Estanciano EC
15%
Draws
27%
CS Maruinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estanciano EC come out ahead of CS Maruinense on wins alone.
  • Estanciano EC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Estanciano EC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 19%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estanciano EC CS Maruinense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.3 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC vs CS Maruinense
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Sergipano 3
CS Maruinense vs Estanciano EC
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC vs CS Maruinense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estanciano EC 76 / 100
CS Maruinense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estanciano EC CS Maruinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CS Maruinense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Estanciano EC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Estanciano EC VS CS Maruinense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estanciano EC

(Home)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 6

CS Maruinense

(Away)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)