Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024

Estanciano EC

1 - 4

Frei Paulistano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Frei Paulistano in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frei Paulistano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Estanciano EC

15%

Draws

38%

Frei Paulistano

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Frei Paulistano at 1.76 per game, Estanciano EC at 1.42.
Model gives Estanciano EC a 42% chance of winning this.
Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Frei Paulistano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 19%

Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estanciano EC	Frei Paulistano
Matches Played	33	33
Wins	18	18
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.42	1.76
Goals Conceded	1.06	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:4

Sep 8, 2024 Sergipano 2

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

0:1

Mar 15, 2023 Sergipano

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

1:0

Feb 5, 2017 Sergipano

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estanciano EC 42 / 100

Frei Paulistano 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estanciano EC Frei Paulistano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Estanciano EC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Frei Paulistano has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Estanciano EC VS Frei Paulistano

1.88 Goals Scored 2

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estanciano EC

(Home)

06 Nov

Estanciano EC

2 : 1

Socorrense

01 Nov

Estanciano EC

3 : 0

CS Maruinense

25 Oct

CS Maruinense

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

19 Oct

Estanciano EC

2 : 0

Santa Cruz SE

16 Oct

Santa Cruz SE

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

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Frei Paulistano

(Away)

01 Nov

Flamengo SE

0 : 4

Frei Paulistano

26 Oct

Atletico Central

0 : 1

Frei Paulistano

18 Oct

Frei Paulistano

0 : 1

Desportiva Aracaju

15 Oct

Independente SE

0 : 3

Frei Paulistano

11 Oct

Frei Paulistano

5 : 1

Boca Junior

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