Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024

Estanciano EC

1 - 4

Frei Paulistano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Frei Paulistano in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frei Paulistano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Estanciano EC

20%

Draws

38%

Frei Paulistano

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Frei Paulistano at 2 per game, Estanciano EC at 1.88.
Model gives Estanciano EC a 42% chance of winning this.
Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Frei Paulistano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 19%

Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estanciano EC	Frei Paulistano
Matches Played	33	34
Wins	18	18
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.88	2
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:4

Sep 8, 2024 Sergipano 2

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

0:1

Mar 15, 2023 Sergipano

Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano EC

1:0

Feb 5, 2017 Sergipano

Estanciano EC vs Frei Paulistano

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estanciano EC 42 / 100

Frei Paulistano 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estanciano EC Frei Paulistano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Estanciano EC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Frei Paulistano conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Estanciano EC VS Frei Paulistano

1.88 Goals Scored 2

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estanciano EC

(Home)

06 Nov

Estanciano EC

2 : 1

Socorrense

01 Nov

Estanciano EC

3 : 0

CS Maruinense

25 Oct

CS Maruinense

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

19 Oct

Estanciano EC

2 : 0

Santa Cruz SE

16 Oct

Santa Cruz SE

0 : 1

Estanciano EC

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Frei Paulistano

(Away)

01 Nov

Flamengo SE

0 : 4

Frei Paulistano

26 Oct

Atletico Central

0 : 1

Frei Paulistano

18 Oct

Frei Paulistano

0 : 1

Desportiva Aracaju

15 Oct

Independente SE

0 : 3

Frei Paulistano

11 Oct

Frei Paulistano

5 : 1

Boca Junior

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