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Estanciano EC vs Socorrense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Estanciano EC
20%
Draws
28%
Socorrense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Socorrense haven't matched Estanciano EC's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Estanciano EC taking it.
  • Estanciano EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Estanciano EC, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 13%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estanciano EC Socorrense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC vs Socorrense
2:1
Feb 6, 2016 Sergipano
Estanciano EC vs Socorrense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estanciano EC 40 / 100
Socorrense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estanciano EC Socorrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Socorrense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Estanciano EC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estanciano EC VS Socorrense
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estanciano EC

(Home)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 6

Socorrense

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Sete de Junho
1 : 4
Socorrense
16 Oct
Socorrense
1 : 1
Sete de Junho
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Socorro 4
Botafogo ASF 2
Sete de Junho 2
Socorrense 5
Estanciano EC 3
Santa Cruz SE 0
Propria 0
CS Maruinense 4
Semi-finals
Socorro 2
Socorrense 3
Estanciano EC 4
CS Maruinense 0
Final
Socorrense 1
Estanciano EC 2