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Estarreja vs Grijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
Estarreja Logo

Estarreja

1 - 3
FT
Grijo Logo

Grijo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grijo in this Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grijo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Estarreja
15%
Draws
36%
Grijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estarreja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estarreja lately — more wins on the board than Grijo.
  • Win probability leans Estarreja's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Estarreja Clean Sheet 18%
Grijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estarreja Grijo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Estarreja
0:1
Mar 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estarreja vs Grijo
1:3
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estarreja vs Grijo
1:1
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Estarreja
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estarreja 58 / 100
Grijo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estarreja Grijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estarreja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estarreja scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Grijo conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Grijo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estarreja VS Grijo
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Estarreja

(Home)
07 Sept
Guarda FC
5 : 4
Estarreja
11 Sept
Estarreja
1 : 2
Aguias do Moradal
14 May
Agueda
2 : 2
Estarreja
07 May
Estarreja
3 : 1
Mortagua FC
30 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 7

Grijo

(Away)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cinfaes 14 8 2 4 19:11 38
2 Anadia 14 6 4 4 17:14 35
3 Lusitano FCV 14 7 3 4 16:11 34
4 SC Lusitania 14 5 4 5 11:10 31
5 SC Espinho 14 5 4 5 18:17 28
6 Estarreja 14 6 2 6 12:19 28
7 Grijo 14 4 3 7 19:23 26
8 Bustelo 14 2 4 8 10:17 23
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)