Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estarreja vs Moimenta da Beira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estarreja
20%
Draws
40%
Moimenta da Beira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Moimenta da Beira haven't matched Estarreja's recent run of results.
  • Estarreja are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Estarreja Clean Sheet 16%
Moimenta da Beira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estarreja Moimenta da Beira
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Moimenta da Beira vs Estarreja
2:1
Feb 25, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Estarreja vs Moimenta da Beira
2:1
Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Estarreja vs Moimenta da Beira
2:2
Oct 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Moimenta da Beira vs Estarreja
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estarreja 36 / 100
Moimenta da Beira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estarreja Moimenta da Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estarreja's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Moimenta da Beira has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Moimenta da Beira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estarreja VS Moimenta da Beira
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estarreja

(Home)
07 Sept
Guarda FC
5 : 4
Estarreja
11 Sept
Estarreja
1 : 2
Aguias do Moradal
14 May
Agueda
2 : 2
Estarreja
07 May
Estarreja
3 : 1
Mortagua FC
30 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 6

Moimenta da Beira

(Away)
11 Sept
Moimenta da Beira
2 : 3
Cinfaes
14 May
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Moimenta da Beira
07 May
Moimenta da Beira
0 : 0
CD Gouveia
30 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Moimenta da Beira
23 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 0
Moimenta da Beira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oliveirense 18 10 4 4 26:20 34
2 SC Salgueiros 18 10 4 4 25:10 34
3 Sanjoanense 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Coimbroes 18 8 6 4 22:20 30
5 Cinfaes 18 8 2 8 16:18 26
6 Sousense 18 7 3 8 28:29 24
7 Gondomar 18 5 6 7 21:22 21
8 Estarreja 18 4 6 8 28:31 18
9 FC Cesarense 18 4 5 9 17:22 17
10 Moimenta da Beira 18 2 6 10 12:28 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)