Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2016/2017

Estarreja

3 - 1

Ponte da Barca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estarreja in this Taça de Portugal 2016/2017 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Estarreja

15%

Draws

51%

Ponte da Barca

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponte da Barca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Estarreja have won more games recently than Ponte da Barca.
Win probability leans Estarreja's way, sitting at 50%.
Estarreja have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Estarreja, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Estarreja Clean Sheet 16%

Ponte da Barca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estarreja	Ponte da Barca
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	5
Draws	8	3
Losses	15	22
Goals Scored	1.59	0.7
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 Taça de Portugal

Estarreja vs Ponte da Barca

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estarreja 48 / 100

Ponte da Barca 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estarreja Ponte da Barca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estarreja Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estarreja found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Ponte da Barca has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ponte da Barca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estarreja VS Ponte da Barca

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estarreja

(Home)

07 Sept

Guarda FC

5 : 4

Estarreja

11 Sept

Estarreja

1 : 2

Aguias do Moradal

14 May

Agueda

2 : 2

Estarreja

07 May

Estarreja

3 : 1

Mortagua FC

30 Apr

CD Gouveia

3 : 1

Estarreja

Page 1 of 6

Ponte da Barca

(Away)

20 Sept

Ponte da Barca

0 : 2

Amarante FC

13 Sept

GD Braganca

3 : 0

Ponte da Barca

06 Sept

Ponte da Barca

2 : 3

AD Limianos

30 Aug

CDC Montalegre

0 : 1

Ponte da Barca

23 Aug

Maia Lidador

0 : 1

Ponte da Barca

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Beneditense 2

Sp. Lourel 1

Malveira 1

Santa Iria 2

Leiria 10

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Boavista -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Moura AC 2

Beira-Mar Almada 0

TBD -

Aves -

Vitoria Sernache 1

Ac. Fundao 0

FC Felgueiras 1

Camacha 2

Vilaverdense FC 3

Vilar de Perdizes 0

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Braga -

TBD -

Barrosas -

TBD -

Sendim 1

AD Oliveirense 8

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Lusitano GC -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Varzim -

TBD -

Anadia -

Sousense -

TBD -

GD Tourizense 2

Agueda 3

Freamunde -

TBD -

Cerva -

GD Joane 1

Barrosas 0

TBD -

Covilha -

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Mosteirense 3

SL Cartaxo 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

SC Farense 2

Lusitano GC 0

Sao Roque 0

SC Angrense 1

Coimbroes 3

Gondomar 0

Sporting Ideal 0

SC Praiense 2

SB Castelo Branco 8

Naval 0

Alianca de Gandra 0

Santa Eulalia 1

Torre De Moncorvo 2

Aguiar da Beira 1

SC Espinho 0

Cinfaes 4

Trofense 5

CF Canical 0

CD Gouveia 0

Beira Mar 4

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Torreense 1

Mafra 0

SC Mirandela 2

Maria de Fonte 3

Gafetense 1

Sintrense 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Estarreja 4

FC Pampilhosa 1

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos 1

GD Uniao Torcatense 0

Anadia 1

Gafanha 2

U. Madeira -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 1

Moimenta da Beira 2

TBD -

Chaves -

Estoril -

TBD -

Sao Roque -

TBD -

Fazendense 0

Caldas SC 3

Mortagua FC 1

Nogueirense 0

TBD -

CF Os Gavionenses -

Viana Alentejo 3

CDR Quarteirense 0

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

Pinhalnovense 2

Lagoa 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Lusitano VRSA 3

Louletano 0

Casa Pia 2

Fabril do Barreiro 3

Pedras Salgadas 1

GD Braganca 0

SC Salgueiros 2

Sanjoanense 4

Penafiel -

TBD -

Trancoso 0

Oliveirense 2

Penalva do Castelo 3

Academica Coimbra SF 2

Cerva 0

Amarante FC 2

Moreirense -

TBD -

Alcobaca 1

GD Sourense 0

TBD -

Vizela -

Feirense -

TBD -

Sendim -

TBD -

Vinha da Rainha 1

Alcanenense 4

BSAD -

TBD -

CD Gouveia -

TBD -

Academica -

Leixoes -

TBD -

Cruzado Canicense 1

Pedras Rubras 4

Almancilense 1

Amora 0

Cerveira 0

Merelinense 3

FC Barreirense 2

Operario 1

Sousense 0

Valadares Gaia FC 2

GS Loures 2

Vilafranquense 1

FC Flamengos 0

Oriental 4

Aljustrelense 4

Praia Milfontes 1

Redondense 1

Armacenenses 6

Alcains 2

Oleiros 0

Aguia Vimioso 1

AD Limianos 5

Sertanense 1

Marinhense 0

AD Satao 1

Lusitano FCV 3

TBD -

Tondela -

Real SC 3

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Raimonda 0

Sao Martinho 6

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 2

Carapinheirense 0

TBD -

FC Pampilhosa -

Sacavenense 4

Atletico CP 0

TBD -

Olhanense -

Maritimo -

TBD -

AD Fafe -

TBD -

Naval -

1º Dezembro 3

SC Lusitania 2

TBD -

Sp. Lourel -

TBD -

Benfica -

1/64-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Beneditense 0

Santa Iria 3

Leiria 3

Portimonense 2

TBD -

Boavista -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Moura AC 0

Aves 4

Vitoria Sernache 2

Camacha 1

Vilaverdense FC 0

Vilafranquense 1

Braga -

TBD -

Barrosas 2

AD Oliveirense 3

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Lusitano GC 0

Santa Clara 3

Varzim 1

Anadia 0

Sousense 1

Agueda 2

Freamunde 5

Cerva 0

GD Joane 0

Covilha 1

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Mosteirense 0

Famalicao 2

SC Farense 2

SC Angrense 0

Coimbroes 2

SC Praiense 5

SB Castelo Branco 3

Santa Eulalia 1

Torre De Moncorvo 0

Cinfaes 3

Trofense 6

Beira Mar 1

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Torreense 3

Maria de Fonte 0

Gafetense 1

Academico Viseu 3

Estarreja 3

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos 0

Gafanha 2

U. Madeira 1

Moimenta da Beira 0

TBD -

Chaves -

Estoril -

TBD -

Sao Roque 0

Caldas SC 3

Mortagua FC 3

CF Os Gavionenses 2

Viana Alentejo 1

Cova De Piedade 2

Gil Vicente 2

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Pinhalnovense 1

Casa Pia 2

Lusitano VRSA 2

Fabril do Barreiro 0

Pedras Salgadas 1

Sanjoanense 6

Penafiel 2

Oliveirense 1

Penalva do Castelo 0

Amarante FC 4

Moreirense -

TBD -

Alcobaca 0

Vizela 2

Feirense -

TBD -

Sendim 2

Alcanenense 4

BSAD -

TBD -

CD Gouveia 1

Academica 2

Leixoes 1

Pedras Rubras 0

Almancilense 0

Merelinense 2

FC Barreirense 3

Valadares Gaia FC 0

GS Loures 1

Oriental 2

Aljustrelense 3

Armacenenses 2

Alcains 0

AD Limianos 4

Sertanense 2

Lusitano FCV 1

TBD -

Tondela -

Real SC 3

Sao Martinho 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 1

FC Pampilhosa 0

Sacavenense 0

Olhanense 1

Maritimo -

TBD -

AD Fafe 2

Naval 3

1º Dezembro 2

Sp. Lourel 0

TBD -

Benfica -

1/32-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Santa Iria 1

Leiria 0

Boavista 2

Pacos Ferreira 2

Aves 1

Vitoria Sernache 0

Vilafranquense 1

Braga 3

AD Oliveirense 1

Rio Ave 1

Santa Clara 2

Varzim 3

Agueda 0

Freamunde 0

Covilha 1

Sporting CP 1

Famalicao 0

SC Farense 1

SC Praiense 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

Cinfaes 0

Trofense 0

Vitoria Setubal 1

Torreense 2

Academico Viseu 0

Estarreja 1

Nacional 3

FC Porto 3

Gafanha 0

U. Madeira 0

Chaves 1

Estoril 1

Caldas SC 0

Mortagua FC 0

Cova De Piedade 1

Gil Vicente 1

Casa Pia 0

Lusitano VRSA 1

Sanjoanense 2

Penafiel 1

Amarante FC 0

Moreirense 0

Vizela 1

Feirense 2

Alcanenense 1

BSAD 0

Academica 2

Leixoes 3

Merelinense 2

FC Barreirense 0

Oriental 2

Aljustrelense 1

AD Limianos 0

Sertanense 0

Tondela 4

Real SC 1

Arouca 0

Fatima 1

Olhanense 2

Maritimo 4

Naval 0

1º Dezembro 1

Benfica 2

1/16-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Boavista 1

Pacos Ferreira 0

Vilafranquense 1

Braga 2

Santa Clara 1

Varzim 0

Covilha 1

Sporting CP 5

SC Praiense 1

SB Castelo Branco 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Torreense 1

Nacional 0

FC Porto 0

Chaves 1

Estoril 2

Cova De Piedade 0

Gil Vicente 0

Sanjoanense 1

Penafiel 1

Vizela 0

Feirense 0

Academica 1

Leixoes 2

Oriental 1

Aljustrelense 1

Tondela 2

Real SC 2

Olhanense 0

Maritimo 0

Benfica 6

1/8-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Vilafranquense 0

Braga 1

Covilha 2

Sporting CP 1

Vitoria Setubal 0

Torreense 2

Chaves 3

Estoril 4

Sanjoanense 2

Penafiel 0

Academica 1

Leixoes 2

Tondela 1

Real SC 0

Benfica 3

Quarter-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Covilha 0

Sporting CP 0

Chaves 1

Estoril 2

Academica 1

Leixoes 2

Benfica 6

Semi-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Chaves 3

Estoril 4

Benfica 5

Final

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Benfica 2

Estarreja vs Ponte da Barca

Portugal

Estarreja

Ponte da Barca

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Estarreja

Ponte da Barca

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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