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Stadium Background

Este vs Caldiero Terme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Zerbato L.
90' Event
Orfeini T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Este
30%
Draws
51%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caldiero Terme lately — more wins on the board than Este.
  • Caldiero Terme are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Caldiero Terme arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caldiero Terme, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Este Clean Sheet 17%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.82 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Este vs Caldiero Terme
0:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Caldiero Terme vs Este
1:3
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Caldiero Terme
1:2
Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Caldiero Terme vs Este
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Caldiero Terme
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerbato L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orfeini T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 20 / 100
Caldiero Terme 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Caldiero Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Este's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Este has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Este VS Caldiero Terme
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
Page 1 of 6

Caldiero Terme

(Away)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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